| UK | Germany |
| Home - Books - Business & Investing - Finance | Help | |
| 161-180 of 200 Back 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Next 20 |
click price to see details click image to enlarge click link to go to the store
| 161. Venture Capital Due Diligence: A Guide to Making Smart Investment Choices and Increasing Your Portfolio Returns by Justin J.Camp | |
![]() | list price: $49.95
our price: $32.97 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0471126500 Catlog: Book (2002-01-18) Publisher: Wiley Sales Rank: 76392 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description Venture Capital Due Diligence provides a clear and complete explanation of the venture capital (VC) due diligence process and shows you how to use it to assess investment opportunities, make smart investment decisions, and increase the return on your overall venture capital portfolio. This comprehensive guide offers a full explanation of the VC due diligence process, from using screening mechanisms that sort out potential opportunities, to assessing the management qualities, business models, legal issues, and even intangibles of target companies. Structured around a number of carefully crafted questions that venture capitalists often ask when performing due diligence, this book puts youthe readerin the position of a VC conducting due diligence on a particular company. In-depth discussions of these questions and their possible answers pull together opinions from many of the major players in todays venture capital industry, including . . . . . . and many others who are qualified to comment on the proper methods of performing VC due diligence and making VC investment decisions. An essential guide for anyone involved in venture capital investing, Venture Capital Due Diligence helps you uncover potential problems, while showing you where to look and what to look for when conducting VC due diligence. Reviews (4)
Although it is carefully documented, it is almost entirely made up of quotes from secondary sources. If you've read some basic books on private equity, you probably already read most of the sources used in this book. There is little in the way of analysis or any kind of value add.
| |
| 162. Principles of Managerial Finance (10th Edition) by Lawrence J. Gitman | |
![]() | list price: $131.00
our price: $131.00 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0201784793 Catlog: Book (2002-08-01) Publisher: Addison Wesley Sales Rank: 37839 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
Reviews (3)
a. Calculation of "n" in the chapter of "Time Value of Money" The book comes with a CD-ROM. The exercises have topics listed before them. This is beneficial both for students & teachers (students can EASILY practice what they've learned while teachers can give assignments by simply browsing the topics). This is an outstanding basic finance book & I haven't found another one that's better. However, outstanding as this book is, there is still room for improvement. My suggestions are: a. Explain "deferred annuities" (both for ordinary annuity & annuity due) Overall, I highly recommend this book to anyone who wants to learn basic finance. This book is well worth buying & KEEPING.
| |
| 163. Trading in the Global Currency Markets by Cornelius Luca | |
![]() | list price: $70.00
our price: $44.10 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0735201463 Catlog: Book (2000-06-01) Publisher: Prentice Hall Press Sales Rank: 7642 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description Cornelius Luca, a renowned authority on international investing, draws on the insights of leading experts in diverse fields of specialty to explain every crucial aspect of foreign exchange.He provides investors with an arsenal of trading weapons, many on the cutting edge of technology.Demystifying the intricacies of these markets, the book includes: Analysis of the mechanics of the market, the major players and markets, the pertinent risks, corporate trading, and methods of trading execution. A thorough overview of foreign exchange instruments and major option strategies, with clear explanations of why currencies are traded and how to forecast currency behavior. An in-depth look at the three types of analysis: fundamental, technical, and econometric.Featuring 200 charts and graphics, TRADING IN THE GLOBAL CURRENCY MARKETS is an indispensable guide to a daunting yet promising financial playing field. Reviews (22)
However, its use to traders, especially individual traders is limited. Since 2000, there has been an almost explosive growth in the number of forex market-makers and brokers, catering to the individual traders, making it possible and very easy for the individual to trade forex on the inter-bank system. One can now start trading a mini forex account with only $300 !! These critical new developments in the forex trade, are unfortunately not covered in Mr Luca's book - hence my call for a 3rd edition. The amount of information contained in the various broker's websites - inclusive of "How to" sections, "FAQs", tutorials, and other background information, pretty much contains most of the info presented in Mr Luca's book, with the exception of forward contracts and options. The Technical Analysis information presented, is similar to the stock market, but not covered extensivley. So, if you already have that knowledge, you wouldn't need to purchase this book to start trading forex. If you need to acquire this knowledge, then I would suggest any one of the excellent in-depth books on the topic of technical analysis available. These books, even though written for the equities market, will give any prospective forex trader most of the knowledge he/she will need to start trading forex.
Mr.Luca's writing is very indepth and many beginners to forex trading will find a lot of information to wade through in order to find the nuggets they are looking for. That being said, any serious beginner will not have a problem with getting a thorough education in this fascinating subject. Intermediate traders will see there mistakes and hopefully correct them by using this book. Overall, this is a great book by Mr.Luca and I keep a copy as a refernce.
| |
| 164. Understanding Financial Statements, Seventh Edition by Lyn M. Fraser, Aileen Ormiston, Adlyn Fraser | |
![]() | list price: $50.00
our price: $50.00 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0130458058 Catlog: Book (2003-04-10) Publisher: Prentice Hall Sales Rank: 147220 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description Reviews (4)
| |
| 165. So You Want to Be a Financial Planner by Nancy Langdon Jones | |
![]() | list price: $55.00
our price: $55.00 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0971443637 Catlog: Book (2002-12) Publisher: Advisorpress Sales Rank: 233059 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description Reviews (17)
What I like most about the book is the "sensitive financial planning" ethic and how financial planners differ from brokers. This book sees the career of financial planning exactly as it is...you will be able to assess financial institutions for what they really are rather than relying on just their marketing tactics when deciding on which company is best for you. I highly recommend this book for anyone who is interested in financial planning--no other book comes close!
Nancy's approach to the profession is definitely others-focused (you might say altruistic). You won't learn how to be a top producer from her narrative, but if you're looking for a multitude of insights into a profession that can be challenging, exciting, fulfilling, and rewarding through the service you provide to others, this is definitely the book. For me it was exactly what I was looking for.
| |
| 166. The Warren Buffett Way, Second Edition by Robert G.Hagstrom | |
![]() | list price: $24.95
our price: $16.47 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0471648116 Catlog: Book (2004-10-08) Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Sales Rank: 10133 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description "Nobody has described what Buffett practices better than Hagstrom." "Simply the most important new stock book . . . If you think you know all about Warren Buffett, you have a lot to learn from this book." "Its first rate. Buffett gets a lot of attention for what he preaches, but nobody has described what he practices better than Hagstrom.Here is the lowdown on every major stock he ever bought and why he bought it.Fascinating." "Almost anybody curious about the relationship between the behavior of economics, the performance of firms, and the ups and downs of the stock market will find something of interest here." "The Warren Buffett Way is accessible to average readers because Mr. Hagstrom reduces the billionaires techniques to some easily understandable tenets . . . the book demonstrates the rewards that can come down the road." Reviews (45)
Hagstrom's analysis is very easy to read and understand... a book everyone should read.
Second, this book proves that Mr. Buffet beat Mr. Market most of the time under normal circumstances. In abnormal circumstances, Mr. Market could beat Mr. Buffet. Abnormal circumstances would exist if Mr. Market went into a long, deep depression (like he did in the 1930's and dropped in value by 90%). And could a second terrorist attack similar to 9/11 cause Mr. Market to panic and create abnormal circumstances in the economy? No matter how good the company, Mr. Market can and will hurt the value of its stock. If there is another terrorist attack like 9/11, Mr. Market will panic and Coca Cola, Washington Post, GEICO, etc., would all suffer terribly.
And what did I learn? I learned that I am not Warren Edward Buffett. Unlike Mr. Buffett, whose circle of associates includes all of the Beautiful People of Corporate America, I am surrounded by ordinary people, more than a few of whom are looking for a way to get rich quick. Whereas Mr. Buffett is patient and thoughtful with his investments, most of the people I encounter are thoughtless and reckless with their gambles. These two things, which I increasingly began to ponder as I read this book, distinguish me from the Oracle of Omaha, and quite possibly from most readers of this book. The book consists of nine chapters, and is mostly historical in nature. It details many of Buffett's past exploits in the stock market, mostly the good moves but also some bad ones, and offers some of the principles guiding Mr. Buffett's stock investing strategy, grouped into three classes called Management, Financial and Market Tenets. The first four chapters of the book delve into the early history of Berkshire Hathaway, the key influences on Mr. Buffett which helped to shape his investment philosophy, Mr. Buffett's perspective on the financial markets, and the principles by which he goes about purchasing a business. The last five chapters of the book give example after example of some of Mr. Buffett's past stock moves, and tries to show his Tenets in action. The style of the book is mostly active until the fifth chapter, whereupon it becomes plodding. The book is extremely repetitive at points, and as other reviewers have pointed out, key concepts are not fully explained up front, suggesting that the possible target audience for this book are those having a strong background in the general principles of economics and business. In all honesty, I have previously encountered most of the content of this book in coursework or self-study. I previously read Mr. Hagstrom's The Warren Buffett Portfolio, and found the two books to be similar in some respects. That said, I still found this book to be very interesting and useful, primarily because it exposed me to an investment approach which utilizes these concepts in ways I had not previously considered. I also found it highly interesting on an anecdotal level, given that Mr. Buffett's investment career spans The Go-Go Years, The Nifty Fifty Stocks and the 80s and 90s Tech Stock Boom, and yet he never once participated in these tech-stock manias but handily outperformed tech stock investors nonetheless. Like I said, I am not Warren Edward Buffett and I can not expect or even hope to do what he does, but that does not mean that I can not think like him. Even Mr. Buffett cautions the small investor in this regard, as there are things that he can do that none of little guys can do. Yet, he also has said that there are things the little guy can do that he can not do. That said, the book deserves to be read by any one lacking the ability to reason through the process of investing. However, readers at all levels should not stop with this book. Others have pointed out that one could get even more information straight from the horse's mouth- the Berkshire Hathaway website. On the other hand, as this information details past moves for which the conditions surrounding them are most unlikely to come around again, I believe that the more astute reader looking to learn more should consult The Money Game by Adam Smith for a brief historical look at financial foolishness (albeit the late sixties but the resemblance to Right Now is striking), The Theory of Investment Value by John Burr Williams for Buffett's original basis for valuation, and The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham for a more detailed explanation of the concepts of margin of safety, intrinsic value, and the benefits associated with ignoring the market noise. These three books will help one learn how to reason through the investment problem, as this is the most important step, aside from finding smart people (as Mr. Smith admonishes forcefully in The Money Game and Buffett has consistently done) and thinking more but acting less (as Buffett has said- do a few things right and screw everything else). ... Read more | |
| 167. The Concepts and Practice of Mathematical Finance (Mathematics, Finance and Risk) by Mark S. Joshi | |
![]() | list price: $50.00
our price: $39.50 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0521823552 Catlog: Book (2003-12-24) Publisher: Cambridge University Press Sales Rank: 56094 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description Reviews (4)
If you want to get an inexpensive book then go for this.
Finding the right level of mathematical sophistication is a difficult balancing act in which it is impossible to please all readers. Here, the author has had a clear vision that the principal audience is the practising or potential quantitative analyst (or quant) and writes accordingly; it is impossible to do better than taking an approach of this sort. Such a quant must have a certain minimum level of mathematical background (a good degree in a numerate discipline). By definition, this has to be assumed for a decent understanding of the material, but the author always has an eye on what a quant really needs to know. Integrated into this mathematical work is a good deal of information about how markets, banks and other corporations operate in practice, not found in more academically-oriented books. The first half of the book includes the core material found in any decent first course on the subject including basic stochastic calculus, pricing of European options through discounted expectation under a risk-neutral measure, the Black-Scholes differential equation and so forth. Where this book really stands out, however, is the exceptional clarity with which the key concepts are separated. Not only are three different ways for deriving the Black-Scholes formula presented (through PDEs, expectation, and the limit of discrete tree-models) ; much more significantly, the different roles played by hedging, replication and equivalent martingale measures in enforcing a price are made crystal clear. In whatever way you already think about this material, you will almost certainly come away with something new from reading this treatment. In my case, for example, I gained a much greater understanding of why "risk-neutral" pricing is so called. The second half of the book, roughly speaking, covers a selection of more sophisticated material. The major areas covered include interest-rate derivatives and models; and more complicated models for stock price evolution (such as stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and variance-gamma) that have been proposed to correct inadequacies in the Black-Scholes model such as its failure to explain market smiles. Once the core ideas have been so thoroughly explained in the first half, a great deal of interesting and diverse material can be covered rapidly yet with a great deal of clarity and coherence, relating the new models to core ideas such as uniqueness of prices and hedging issues. Those with quantitative finance experience are still likely to find a good deal that is new and worthwhile in this book. And if you a thinking about becoming a quant, I cannot think of a better book to read first.
Mark Joshi's book fills this niche admirably: it is mathematically rigorous In short this is a book which anyone who is interested in mathematical | |
| 168. Health Care Finance: Basic Tools for Nonfinancial Managers by Judith J. Baker, R. W. Baker, Judith Baker | |
![]() | list price: $69.95
our price: $69.95 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0763733490 Catlog: Book (2003-07-14) Publisher: Jones & Bartlett Publishers Sales Rank: 329476 US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description | |
| 169. Fixed Income Mathematics by Frank J. Fabozzi | |
![]() | list price: $62.64
our price: $51.99 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0786311215 Catlog: Book (1996-08-01) Publisher: McGraw-Hill Sales Rank: 65664 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description Reviews (10)
I highly recommend Tavakoli's book: "Credit Derivatives and Synthetic Structures" (2nd Edition).
| |
| 170. Trading Risk: Enhanced Profitability through Risk Control by Kenneth L.Grant | |
![]() | list price: $69.95
our price: $47.57 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0471650919 Catlog: Book (2004-08-27) Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Sales Rank: 11262 US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description "Trading Risk provides a useful and intuitive roadmap of the risk management process, as written by an individual with unique experience and insight into this topic.It is an engaging read and covers complex subject matter in a straightforward and often-entertaining manner." "Ken Grant's eminently readable new book on risk management is a rare blend of theory and practical applications. It is a great starting point for the novice and deep enough for the experienced practitioner." "This book describes a very practical approach to risk management in a lucid and entertaining manner.Anyone concerned with the topic of risk management ought to find it of interest." "Thoughtful, unique, detailed, actually enjoyable, and comprehensible reading for what is normally a boring and confusing topic." "A must-read for risk managers of companies of all sizes who want to preserve capital and take practical advantage of trends in the marketplace.This is a clearly written, funny, and entertaining guide to a very serious topic that affects all corporations.This very complex topic was simplified and made easy to understand by a true expert in the art of risk management." | |
| 171. Financial Accounting : The Impact on Decision Makers by Gary A. Porter, Curtis L. Norton | |
![]() | list price: $124.95
our price: $124.95 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0324185685 Catlog: Book (2003-01-16) Publisher: South-Western College Pub Sales Rank: 78185 US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description | |
| 172. The Bank Director's Handbook: The Board Member's Guide to Banking & Bank Management (Bankline Publication) by Benton E., Ph.D. Gup | |
![]() | list price: $32.50
our price: $32.50 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 1557387923 Catlog: Book (1996-02-01) Publisher: Irwin Professional Publishing Sales Rank: 198764 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description Reviews (1)
| |
| 173. Investment Performance Measurement (Frank J. Fabozzi Series) by Bruce J.Feibel | |
![]() | list price: $89.95
our price: $62.96 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0471268496 Catlog: Book (2003-01-24) Publisher: Wiley Sales Rank: 132559 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description Written in a clear and accessible style, with each concept developed through fully worked examples, this book is a valuable guide that provides you with critical insights into many areas of this important step in the investment management cycle. This straightforward and well-rounded resource provides a step-by-step guide to the processes used by practitioners to analyze the performance of an investment portfolio. Topics include: Filled with in-depth spreadsheet examples, Investment Performance Measurement gives you all the information youll need to understand and implement the techniques used to measure the performance of an investment. Reviews (4)
Some other books only cover some calculation of returns, but this book covers all the subjects that matter to investment performance measurement: Return Measurement, Risk Measurement, Efficiency and Skill Measurement, Performance Attribution and Performance Presentation. This book is not expensive. Good value for your money. Anne-Mei-Ling
| |
| 174. Creative Cash Flow Reporting: Uncovering Sustainable Financial Performance by Charles W.Mulford, Eugene E.Comiskey | |
![]() | list price: $39.95
our price: $26.37 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0471469181 Catlog: Book (2005-01-14) Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Sales Rank: 146680 US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description Successful methodology for identifying earnings-related reporting indiscretions Creative Cash Flow Reporting and Analysis capitalizes on current concerns with misleading financial reporting on misleading financial reporting. It identifies the common steps used to yield misleading cash flow amounts, demonstrates how to adjust the cash flow statement for more effective analysis, and how to use adjusted operating cash flow to uncover earnings that have been misreported using aggressive or fraudulent accounting practices. Charles W. Mulford, PhD, CPA (Atlanta, GA), is the coauthor of three books, including the bestselling The Financial Numbers Game: Identifying Creative Accounting Practices. Eugene E. Comiskey, PhD, CPA, CMA (Atlanta, GA), is the coauthor of the bestselling The Financial Numbers Game: Identifying Creative Accounting Practices. | |
| 175. Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing FinancialRisk by PhilippeJorion | |
![]() | list price: $75.00
our price: $47.25 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0071355022 Catlog: Book (2000-08-17) Publisher: McGraw-Hill Sales Rank: 54836 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description Reviews (18)
There is nothing about coherence, the problems with VaR, the fundamental problems with using it to allocate risks to portfolios...
Despite improvements in measuring risk the newspapers are full of stories where risks have been mismanaged. Jorion?s introductory chapters on risk management failures are good at proving why risk management is important. I think beginners would find the chapters that define the different types of risks (credit, liquidity, operational, legal & market), the role of VaR in regulatory capital measurements, and the first part of the VaR discussion as being useful. The chapters that specifically deal with credit, operational, and liquidity risks are also important though the author does not cover these topics as deeply as he covers VaR. I understand that this book used to be the bible for managing financial risk. I still think it?s an extremely useful book, but agree with some of the other commentators that it could have been more than it is. With an industry that changes as quickly as the financial sector you?d hope for some more detail on current trends and events besides Basel II. (Role of new products such as credit derivatives? Do firms really care about incremental VaR or Marginal VaR, and if they do when? When is it practical to use? How do firms use it? Who are the current leaders in the techniques?). I would also have liked to see more on reputational risk (how do firms decide if a product is appropriate for a client? how would the public perceive a firm?s transactions with a particular client? Enron and WorldCom are current examples). The difficulty in writing about this subject is that it?s very easy to be too complicated and detailed for beginners but not complicated or detailed enough for professionals. For example, beginners may have difficulties with the material if they don?t understand basic financial concepts, but professionals are probably looking for more specifics on how these concepts are applied for specific products. I?d imagine that there aren?t many readers in that middle ground. This book is definitely geared more towards the professional.
Now there are a number of excellent books available on VaR, and these cater to various audiences. Depending upon what you are looking for, they offer a more accessible, more sophisticated, or more up-to-date treatment of VaR. For an elementary introduction, you can't beat Butler. Downplaying theory, he shows you practical spreadsheet examples you can use to implement basic VaR models. He explains related topics, such as probability distributions, delta and gamma, and the Monte Carlo method, so the book is self-contained. Marrison's "Measuring Market Risk" describes VaR in the context of bank risk management. More sophisticated than Butler, this is a practical, "real world" book for people starting in bank risk management. Marrison ties VaR together with topics such as capital allocation, credit risk modeling and asset-liability management. Holton is written for practicing risk mangers or researchers. Before it even publishes, it has made a splash on trading floors where dog-eared preprint copies have become a coveted item. Holton explains in detail things like delta-gamma VaR and variance reduction for Monte Carlo VaR -- topics other books only mention. Also, Holton is the only book that offers exercises. For use of VaR in investment management, see Pearson's "Risk Budgeting." It introduces VaR and then explains how it can be used to allocate assets between investment categories or among managers -- this is known as risk budgeting. The focus of the book is a technique from calculus that allows you to decompose risks so that the parts sum to the whole. There isn't much else written on this topic, and Pearson offers the best treatment that I know of. Finally, there is Dowd's "Beyond Value-at-Risk." This provides an excellent survey of the literature on VaR. It also covers related risk management topics, including credit risk management and risk-adjusted performance measurement. ... Read more | |
| 176. Energy and Power Risk Management: New Developments in Modeling, Pricing and Hedging by AlexanderEydeland, KrzysztofWolyniec, Alexander Eydeland, Krzysztof Wolyniec | |
![]() | list price: $95.00
our price: $59.85 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0471104000 Catlog: Book (2002-12-20) Publisher: Wiley Sales Rank: 40364 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description "Energy and Power Risk Management identifies and addresses the key issues in the development of the turbulent energy industry and the challenges it poses to market players. An insightful and far-reaching book written by two renowned professionals." "The most up-to-date and comprehensive book on managing energy price risk in the natural gas and power markets. An absolute imperative for energy traders and energy risk management professionals." "Eydeland and Wolyniecs work does an excellent job of outlining the methods needed to measure and manage risk in the volatile energy market." "This book combines academic rigor with real-world practicality. It is a must-read for anyone in energy risk management or asset valuation." Reviews (3)
In chapter 5 the author presents techniques for energy modeling that go beyond the used of the convenience yield by using forward pricing techniques. The goal is to describe the dynamics of future contract prices that takes into account the correlations with other futures, and not on the price evolution of a single contract. Thus it is the 'forward curve' that is relevant for obtaining a useable model for derivative cash flow. The HJM model is presented as one of these, with changes in the forward curve over a particular time interval represented as a linear combination of random perturbations. For energy markets, each perturbation is specified by a deterministic shape function multiplied by a Gaussian factor. The unobservability of the factors determining the forward curve evolution makes the use of historical data mandatory if the parameters are to be estimated. But lack of sufficient historical data and its nonstationarity complicate this estimation. The authors discuss the Schwartz-Smith multi-factor model as an example of a forward curve dynamics model and give some solutions. They then move on to a model that specifies the dynamics for only the contracts that are actually traded, which in the literature are called 'market models.' The model they actually discuss is a multivariate geometric Brownian motion representation of the forward curve dynamics, where the volatility and drift functions are linear functions of the forward prices. The authors then derive the 'discrete string models', where it is assumed that the number of factors is equal to the number of contracts, and the random factors are governed by ordinary Brownian motion. String models are represented as having the advantage of being able to directly observe the factors in the historical data. The authors apply string models to multi-commodity cases, and discuss an example for monthly forward prices. They show how to match the current forward curve, the option prices, and the correlation structure for this model. The discussion in chapter 7 revolves around finding better models for the dynamics of power prices that capture the special properties of energy prices, such as mean reversion and seasonality, and the need for stable models. They therefore introduce 'hybrid models', which they claim give a more natural representation of the dynamics of power prices, make use of nonprice forward-looking information, and can take the historical data on power prices and then extend it to information on fuel prices, outages, etc. The construction of these models is based on the use of nonlinear transformations on a collection of random variables. The random variables are essentially the system demand, natural gas and oil price, outages, emission prices, and weather at a particular time. The power price then can be written as a function of the dynamics of these factors, the latter written by the authors in terms of the corresponding tradables. Recognizing that hedging cannot be done on some of these factors, they adjust the power price formula so that the power tradables, i.e. the forwards and option prices, are exactly matched. This matching transformation is chosen so that if the forward contracts and options are priced using the adjusted formula, one recovers the exact current prices. The model, as the authors summarize it, is an attempt to explain the behavior of the tradables in terms of the evolution of the underlying factors and static adjustments to the terminal probability distribution. Historical information on the tradables and spot products is not used to calibrate the model, but it is used to validate the model. The authors distinguish between 'reduced-form' hybrid models, where the transformation is calibrated from the historical prices, and 'fundamental' hybrid models, where the transformation is calibrated from the market structure and is only tested on the historical prices. The authors discuss an example of a reduced-form hybrid model that is heavily parametrized, but has the advantage of using price data more efficiently. The rest of the chapter concentrates on fundamental hybrid models, with the author first discussing how power prices are formed in competitive markets. They consider a typical pool market, with the price determined via auction mechanisms. The authors then try to identify and characterize the underlying random variables that actually affect power prices. The time series for the price of power is written in terms of the demand using a 'bid stack' function. The bid stack function is approximated by a 'generation stack' that is found for a given time by sorting generation units by their generation costs. This approximation is checked by comparing the marginal generation costs generated by the generation stack with the distribution of power prices determined by the time series via the bid stack. There should be agreement in both approaches between the higher order moments. This comparison forms the basis of the authors' hybrid approach to modeling power prices. A transformation is found which relates the marginal generation costs to the distribution of power prices with the requirement that the prices of market instruments used for calibration are matched, and the higher moments are (approximately) preserved. The transformation is not unique, and in fact a family of transformations induced by the multiplication and stack scaling operators can be found.
To me, the greatest strength of the book lies in its fairly detailed analysis of what DOESN'T work, i.e. why common models and methods from the financial and other commodity realms can not be successfully grafted onto the energy market without risking significant valuation and cash flow prediction errors. The hybrid model they formulate towards the end of the book is very similar to Skantze and Ilic (2001). The departure from most previous models is that they attempt to use the markets to formulate and calibrate the structure instead of relying too much on past historical price/load data, which without some empirical understanding of the underlying processes, is fraught with danger due to rapidly evolving nature of the power market (or at least once rapidly evolving--it seems to be a little static at the moment). Some familiarity with the market and stochastic/statistical mathematics is assumed. References to specific topics and more in depth analysis of particular subjects are good. The authors have a grip on real-world trading, risk, and cashflow issues, which makes this a useful reference for just about anyone associated with those aspects of the power market. I recommend it.
| |
| 177. A Complete Guide to Technical Trading Tactics : How to Profit Using Pivot Points, Candlesticks & Other Indicators (Wiley Trading) by John L.Person | |
![]() | list price: $59.95
our price: $37.77 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 047158455X Catlog: Book (2004-04-16) Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Sales Rank: 59304 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
|
Book Description "John Person does an excellent job of explaining how to apply technical analysis to the futures markets. Since futures trading is short-term in nature, it demands precision timing tools. A lot of those tools can be found in this new book." "Easy to read and easy to follow, A Complete Guide to Technical Trading Tactics is a book traders will love." "A Complete Guide to Technical Trading Tactics is replete with useful trading tips in a logical format, presented by a seasoned trader with a flair for telling it like it is . . .sure to enrich your pocketbook." "There is a Japanese proverb: He whose ranks are united in purpose will be victorious. This book skillfully reveals how to join the most important aspects of technical analysis including my favorite (of course) candlesticks. Covers the spectrum from market mechanics to chart analysis, pivot points (Johns specialty), order placement, and much more. Use this book! It will help you along the road to victory in your trading battles." "Brilliantly provides succinct descriptions and applications of technical trading techniques, gives a solid overview of the derivatives market, shows how to identify and work with a broker, and presents issues that a trader must face to be successful. A must-read for traders at all experience levels." "John Person provides readers the most valuable commodity they can buy on any exchange: the benefit of his vast knowledge and experience related to trading. His analysis and discussion of pivot points is an especially valuable contribution to trading literature." Reviews (4)
This book can sit on my shelf in equal company from each of these other great analysts. Thanks for your insight and guidance John, it is sincerely appreciated. I especially enjoyed the section on Pivot Points. Sincerely,
I greatly enjoyed this read, and know I will be implementing many of the ideas in my own trading. Trading Tactics is a must read for all, novices as well as seasoned professionals will find something useful within its pages...SB
| |