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| 161. Stable Isotopes and Biosphere - Atmosphere Interactions : Processes and Biological Controls (Physiological Ecology) by Lawrence B Flanagan, James R. Ehleringer, Diane E Pataki | |
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our price: $99.95 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 012088447X Catlog: Book (2004-12-29) Publisher: Academic Press Sales Rank: 489250 US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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| 162. Outgrowing the Earth: The Food Security Challenge in an Age of Falling Water Tables and Rising Temperatures by Lester R. Brown | |
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our price: $10.85 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0393327256 Catlog: Book (2005-01) Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company Sales Rank: 61219 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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Book Description Ever since 9/11, many have considered al Queda to be the leading threat to global security, but falling water tables in countries that contain more than half the world's people and rising temperatures worldwide pose a far more serious threat. Spreading water shortages and crop-withering heat waves are shrinking grain harvests in more and more countries, making it difficult for the world's farmers to feed 70 million more people each year. The risk is that tightening food supplies could drive up food prices, destabilizing governments in low-income grain-importing countries and disrupting global economic progress. Future security, Brown says, now depends on raising water productivity, stabilizing climate by moving beyond fossil fuels, and stabilizing population by filling the family planning gap and educating young people everywhere. If Osama bin Laden and his colleagues succeed in diverting our attention from the real threats to our future security, they may reach their goals for reasons that even they have not imagined. Reviews (1)
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| 163. Handbook of Air Pollution From Internal Combustion Engines by Eran Sher | |
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our price: $154.95 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0126398550 Catlog: Book (1998-01-15) Publisher: Academic Press Sales Rank: 326936 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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| 164. Pollution Science by Ian L. Pepper, Charles P. Gerba, Mark L. Brusseau | |
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our price: $89.95 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0125506600 Catlog: Book (1996-06-19) Publisher: Academic Press Sales Rank: 602527 US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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| 165. World Agriculture and the Environment: A Commodity-By-Commodity Guide to Impacts and Practices by Jason Clay, Jason W. Clay | |
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our price: $35.00 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 1559633700 Catlog: Book (2004-03-01) Publisher: Island Press Sales Rank: 298382 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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Book Description World Agriculture and the Environment presents a unique assessment of agricultural commodity production and the environmental problems it causes, along with prescriptions for increasing efficiency and reducing damage to natural systems. Drawing on his extensive travel and research in agricultural regions around the world, and employing statistics from a range of authoritative sources including the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization,the author examines twenty of the world?s major crops, including beef, coffee, corn, rice, rubber, shrimp, sorghum, tea, and tobacco. For each crop, he offers comparative information including: Reviews (1)
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| 166. Natural Gas Hydrates: A Guide for Engineers by John J. Carroll | |
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our price: $79.99 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0750675691 Catlog: Book (2002-10-30) Publisher: Gulf Professional Publishing Sales Rank: 949755 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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| 167. Ecological Diversity and Its Measurement by Anne E. Magurran | |
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our price: $35.00 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0691084912 Catlog: Book (1988-11-01) Publisher: Princeton University Press Sales Rank: 527359 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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Book Description The author discusses the methods of describing ecological diversity in conjunction with specific recommendations for the selection and interpretation of diversity measures. In addition, she considers the sampling problems often encountered in ecological censusing. The work concludes with a discussion of the empirical value of diversity measures. A special feature that makes the book particularly accessible to readers without great expertise in mathematics is the inclusion of worked examples of the main diversity measures and models. Reviews (1)
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| 168. The Ecological Design Handbook by Fred A. Stitt | |
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our price: $63.96 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0070614997 Catlog: Book (1999-06-14) Publisher: McGraw-Hill Professional Sales Rank: 449863 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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| 169. Handbook of Chlorination and Alternative Disinfectants, 4th Edition by Geo. CliffordWhite | |
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our price: $230.00 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0471292079 Catlog: Book (1998-12-04) Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Sales Rank: 475377 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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| 170. Air Quality, Fourth Edition by Thad Godish | |
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our price: $60.76 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 156670586X Catlog: Book (2003-07-28) Publisher: CRC Press Sales Rank: 379085 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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| 171. Eco-Sanity: A Common-Sense Guide to Environmentalism by Joseph L. Bast, Peter J. Hill, Richard C. Rue | |
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our price: $14.95 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 156833057X Catlog: Book (1996-06-01) Publisher: National Book Network Sales Rank: 450024 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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Book Description Reviews (1)
Guess what? We're not killing the planet! Bast, Hill and Rue survey air and water quality, forests, global warming, ozone depletion, solid wastes and acid rain among other environmental topics. Bast, Hill and Rue succeed in showing that few if any of the hysterics coming from environmentalist circles are really warranted. The best scientific evidence we have tells us, for example, that our air and water supplies are getting cleaner, not dirtier. Total air pollution emissions in the U.S. today are much lower than they were in 1940, and lower than they were in the 1960s and 1970s. Water quality has shown equivalent improvements. Likewise, there are more acres of forest in the U.S. today than anytime since the 1950s. Regarding global warming, the evidence of a phenomenon that can be traced to human industrial activity is nowhere near as decisive as both the "greens" and the major media would have us believe. Average temperatures fluctuate across the globe for a variety of reasons, some of them too complex to determine exact causes, and we simply have not been keeping records for long enough to map out a direct cause-and-effect connection between warming temperatures and human industrial action. Certainly the science is not decisive enough for the massive changes in the whole economic order being demanded by many "green" activists (many of whom--let's just say it--are socialists who want a "new world order" they can control). The authors present similar evidence regarding other environmentalist "issues." Consider ozone-layer depletion. Bast et al draw our attention to the fact that global ozone levels have *increased*, not decreased, since 1986. The "hole in the ozone layer" about which "greens" have obsessed was observed back in 1956, long before the man-made chlorofluorocarbons blamed for the phenomenon could have had this kind of effect. Again, real science does not support extravagent "green" claims. In short, there is no "environmental crisis" in any large-scale sense. The planet is not dying. Nor are we overpopulating ourselves toward extinction. If anything, we are getting healthier because of increased levels of prosperity over the past half-century. Prosperity--created by market-driven and not-command-driven economic systems--leads to a healthier environment because it leads people to adopt more environmentally sound patterns of action. Worries over the depletion of nonrenewable natural resources are exaggerated, because the available reserves dwarf actual consumption. There would be more reserves available, moreover (e.g., in northeastern Alaska), if only the "greens" would let us drill for them. We have the technology to do so in ways that accommodate legitimate calls for environmental protection. These revelations, important as they are, are not the major strength of this book. Its major strength is to offer a set of principles for *sound reasoning* about environmental issues. These principles do not simply brush the subject off. Obviously we don't want to foul our own nest. There have been environmental problems in the past, but the point is, the situation is under control. Improved technology, the product of human ingenuity that can never be predicted in advance, has consistently provided *solutions* whereas radical environmentalists have provided only prophesies of doom. The real issue, therefore, is "green" hysterics--especially since these hysterics are so often repeated mechanically, like mantras, in the major media. ECO-SANITY thus offers 36 "rules for eco-sanity" that ought to lead us to a more informed view of how to protect the environment in ways that do not undermine necessary economic liberty. Here is a sampling: -Correlation is not causation. In eco-systems, cause-and-effect is very complex, and we should never jump to conclusions (e.g., "industrial pollution" is a direct cause of "global warming"), particularly if these conclusions could impact on public policies in ways that could prove to be economically disastrous over the long run. This, as I observed, is only a sampling. For the rest, I recommend getting the book. The point is, we should stop reacting to hysterical claims about a global environmental crisis for which "American capitalism" is almost invariably blamed. And though Bast, Hill and Rue don't dwell on it as much as I would have, we need to question the motives of the "green" movement, especially since this movement now operates at an international level, very well organized, and bankrolled by people with very deep pockets (think of the Rockefellers, for example). There is pretty good evidence that this movement is motivated more by a desire for global power than a sincere belief in protecting the environment. Part of this effort consists of the above-mentioned media blackout on the views of scientists who question the global warming thesis, for example, as well as more recent efforts to destroy the reputations of dissident scientists such as Bjorn Lomborg (author of THE SKEPTICAL ENVIRONMENTALIST) who have presented direct scientific evidence of the flimsiness of the science behind the "green" movement. When efforts are made to ruin dissidents instead of answer them with responsible arguments, watch out! You're dealing with people more interested in an agenda than the truth. ... Read more | |
| 172. Environmental Science: A Global Concern with bind in OLC card by William P Cunningham, Mary AnnCunningham, Barbara Woodworth Saigo, William Cunningham, Mary Ann Cunningham, Barbara Saigo | |
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our price: $110.31 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0072930748 Catlog: Book (2003-03-24) Publisher: McGraw-Hill Science/Engineering/Math Sales Rank: 548030 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
Reviews (7)
Too many typos, too opinionated in the wrong places, not opinionated enough in the right places, just horrible. Wretched book. And to think, my family spent over $100 on the package. Ack! [Ask your prof to use one of the labs to research better textbooks if this is all he/she can come up with.]
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| 173. Valuing the Earth: Economics, Ecology, Ethics | |
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our price: $30.00 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0262540681 Catlog: Book (1992-11-24) Publisher: The MIT Press Sales Rank: 464815 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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Book Description Reviews (3)
There is a chart on page 20 of this book that is quite extraordinary. Titled "The ends-means spectrum", it brilliantly runs down from the top: Religion and Ethics as guidelines to ultimate and intermediate ends of humanity; to the middle Political Economy as a means of managing the factors of production to specific political ends; to the bottom: Technics and Physics as the "ultimate" foundation or "ground truth" of flow-entropy-matter-energy that must constrain political and religious ends. This book, in which Kenneth N. Townsend is the second contributing editor-author, blends practical, political, economic, and theological writings, over several decades, in a most pleasing manner. E. F. Schumacher's "Buddhist Economics" jumped out at me, reminding me that our predominantly Protestant corporate capitalist ethos is very far removed from the realities that guide and repress billions around the Earth, all of whom have fewer options than we do. With that thought in mind, I strongly recommend William Greider's "The Soul of Capitalism: Opening Paths to a Moral Economy" as a very current complement to any of the books that Dr. Daly has helped bring into the marketplace of ideas.
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| 174. Quantitative Conservation Biology: Theory and Practice of Population Viability Analysis by William F. Morris, Daniel F. Doak | |
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our price: $44.95 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0878935460 Catlog: Book (2003-01-01) Publisher: Sinauer Associates Sales Rank: 119594 US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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Book Description Part of the reason for the ongoing gap between conservation practitioners and population modelers has been the lack of an easy-to-understand introduction to PVA for conservation biologists with little prior exposure to mathematical modeling as well as in-depth coverage of the underlying theory and its applications. Quantitative Conservation Biology fills this void through a unified presentation of the three major areas of PVA: count-based, demographic, and multi-site, or metapopulation, models. The authors first present general concepts and approaches to viability assessment. Then, in sections addressing each of the three fields of PVA, they guide the reader from considerations for collection and analysis of data to model construction, analysis, and interpretation, progressing from simple to complex approaches to answering PVA questions. Detailed case studies use data from real endangered species, and computer programs to perform all described analyses accompany the text. The goal of this book is to provide practical, intelligible, and intuitive explanations of population modeling to empirical ecologists and conservation biologists. Modeling methods that do not require large amounts of data (typically unavailable for endangered species) are emphasized. As such, the book is appropriate for undergraduate and graduate students interested in quantitative conservation biology, managers charged with preserving endangered species, and, in short, for any conservation biologist or ecologist | |
| 175. Working With Your Woodland: A Landowner's Guide by Mollie Beattie, Charles Thompson, Lynn Levine | |
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our price: $22.95 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0874516226 Catlog: Book (1993-09-15) Publisher: University Press of New England Sales Rank: 113065 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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Book Description Reviews (4)
I disagree with a previous reviewer that the Hilts book is preferable to the conservationist. I bought both books, but found the Hilts book unsatisfying. It is geared more to people who are considering how to return former farmland to a wooded state. It sidesteps the detailed forestry issues, such as thinning overcrowded stands, usually by saying that a forester will provide the information. These are the areas where the Beattie book is especially strong. Since my land is already forested, I appreciated the breadth of information on forest management techniques in the Beattie book. But the book can also be helpful to people who are undecided about whether or not to actively manage their forest land. It provides good background on how northeast forests have developed, and how a woodland would mature without intervention. 1/8/2002
The major difference between this title and the Hilts et al text is that this book devotes substantially more space to financial, legal, and logistical issues associated with harvesting trees. Conservationists will probably prefer Hilts while the reader focused on income from his or her woodlot will prefer this book. Neither text goes very far helping the reader identify specific health problems in a woodlot; look more to Pirone et al. for an excellent introduction.
It is written for New England woodlands, but its principles are applicable everywhere. ... Read more | |
| 176. Living Downstream : A Scientist's Personal Investigation of Cancer and the Environment by SANDRA STEINGRABER | |
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our price: $10.17 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0375700994 Catlog: Book (1998-07-28) Publisher: Vintage Sales Rank: 96153 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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Book Description In her early twenties, Steingraber was afflicted with cancer, a disease that has afflicted other members of her adoptive family. Writing from the twin perspectives of a survivor and a concerned scientist, she traces the high incidence of cancer and the terrifying concentrations of environmental toxins in her native rural Illinois. She goes on to show similar correlation in other communities, such as Boston and Long Island, and throughout the United States, where cancer rates have risen alarmingly since mid-century. At once a deeply moving personal document and a groundbreaking work of scientific detection, Living Downstream will be a touchstone for generations, reminding us of the intimate connection between the health of our bodies and the integrity of our air, land, and water. "By skillfully weaving a strong personal drama with thorough scientific research, Steingraber tells a compelling story....Well worth reading."--Washington Post Reviews (14)
I like the structure of the book, the organization into chapters titled "time," "space," "war," and the like. I also like her alternating personal narrative (she is a bladder-cancer survivor, a native of Illinois, a graduate student, a researcher--we find out lots of things) with the cold hard facts and sometimes the fuzzy facts of cancer research and regulation of chemicals. The only thing that holds me back, which is why I gave it four stars, is that the book is a bit too long for my taste at almost 400 pages--I, a layperson, could have done with a bit less detail (though I understand she's covering her bases) and a bit more politics (though I understand she's being careful, not naming too many names). The best chapter is the final one: if you come across this book and have other things to do, at least read the last chapter--most convincing is her deconstruction of the public policy of 'personal responsibility': sure, some cancers may be associated with personal lifestyle, but more important are the things we have little individual control over, such as the air we breathe, the land our kids play on, the streams we swim in. Blame, Steingraber implies/states (she's not always so outspoken), lies less with us citizens, taxpayers, cancer patients, than with the companies that manufacture products and byproducts that may be carcinegous and are simply allowed to do so until proven otherwise, and the regulators (our government, at all levels) who let them do so. Bravo--it needed to be said, and I'm glad Steingraber did it.
For me the most shocking thing about Living Downstream is how little known it is, given the life or death issues it addresses. I had never heard of it until I attended a lecture in support of the author's new book, Having Faith: An Ecologist's Journey to Motherhood. What Living Downstream does is explore the connections between the toxic chemicals found everywhere in our environment, and various cancers and other diseases. Examined are various mediums of transmission: earth, air, water, fire; chemicals from vinyl chloride, to pesticides and insecticides, to PCBs--even dry cleaning fluid (PCE); and scientific evidence of their connections to cancers, immune deficiencies and reproductive problems. Pulling all this research together is in itself a tremendous service. Science so often involves narrow fields of research with little communication between fields. Still, though it's hardly a "light read," it is nothing like those dry science textbooks you remember. The author is also a poet, and she uses metaphor and imagery to explain in easy terms anything unfamiliar to the non-scientist. This makes the book intelligent-user friendly and even, at times, beautiful. The personal narrative keeps it human. However, I won't lie and say it is a "fun read." The truth is, I found it educational and even life-changing, but also deeply unsettling and even frightening. No longer can I dismiss cancer as genetic, or easily warded off through diet and lifestyle, or see environmental cancers as the problem of those poor souls unfortunate enough to live near some toxic waste dump. The book gave me knowledge, and yes, it's true: knowledge IS power. It gave me the motivation to buy organic, to use filtered (NOT bottled) water, to take a very serious look at any chemical I use around my home. It also helped me understand why this is not the whole answer, that the real answer lies in taking serious steps to address the poisoning of our environment. The first and most important step, however, is awareness, which is why you should read this book.
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| 177. Stolen Harvest: The Hijacking of the Global Food Supply by Vandana Shiva | |
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our price: $11.20 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0896086070 Catlog: Book (1999-12-01) Publisher: South End Press Sales Rank: 29752 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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Book Description Reviews (5)
First, Shiva points out that many of the productivity gains attributable to the Green Revolution were achieved by dramatically increased inputs of fertilizer, seed and water. When one compares units of input with units of output, however, native practices produce higher yields -- especially when one takes into account the multiple uses derived from a single product. For example, mustard oil is a vital product used by many of India's poor for cooking, seasoning, medicine and other uses. But it has been banned by the Indian government (under highly suspicious circumstances) in order to allow imports of soybean oil products. While giant corporations benefit from expanded sales, native industries have been destroyed, contibuting to poverty and malnourishment. Shiva discusses the commercial fishing and aquaculture (shrimp farming) practices that inevitably result in environmental destruction and reduced catches. She compares this short-sighted approach with traditional Indian fishing techniques that have successfully sustained themselves for generations while protecting important ecosystems such as mangrove forests. Shiva discusses corporate patenting of seeds, which insidiously transforms the cooperative ethic of seed sharing into a criminal offense. The author supports a non-cooperation movement in India that is resisting corporate attempts to claim ownership of seeds that have been cultivated by countless generations of farmers. Shiva's sacred cow / mad cow metaphor effectively and appropriately contrasts agribusiness with small farming. India's sacred cows live in harmony with the environment, performing multiple services and producing multiple products for the community; whereas mad cows are a grotesque manifestation of an industrial system obsessed with uniformity, technology and profit. Shiva also touches on the topic of genetic engineering (GE) and discusses the threat it poses to biodiversity, food safety and human health. The Afterword to the book alludes to the WTO protests in Seattle. Shiva believes this watershed event proves that people are becoming more aware of the dangers of unaccountable corporate power, yet she believes that positive change is possible. This opening of consciousness to new possibilities may be attributable to the extraordinary work of people like Vandana Shiva, whose intelligence and compassion is abundantly evident in this book. Highly recommended!
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| 178. The Lost Language of Plants: The Ecological Importance of Plant Medicines for Life on Earth by Stephen Harrod Buhner | |
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our price: $13.97 (price subject to change: see help) Asin: 1890132888 Catlog: Book (2002-03-01) Publisher: Chelsea Green Publishing Company Sales Rank: 43776 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
Reviews (13)
Is that language? Maybe not But even if it only meant that I could make my jelly, it did have meaning, and to convey meaning is, after all, the purpose of language. The Lost Language of Plants is a book about meaning: not whether plants speak, or even how they speak, but what they say to us and we to them. Buhner says there is meaning to Life, and that plants communicate it clearly and fully through their chemistry and biology. In human industrial culture, however, the common values of Life - birth, growth, death, and renewal - have mutated into progress, wealth, and poverty - the trinity of economic growth. As a result, billions of years of evolution are being pushed to favor waste over renewal, and death over Life. Under human control, Life is a mere by-product of a soul-less, cosmic machine that happens to have produced "resources" that we can consume until they're gone or until Life ends, whichever comes first. "Imagine a ball of twine the exact size and shape of Earth," Buhner writes; "Better yet, telephone line. Take the end point of the line and weave it back into the beginning so that there is no beginning and no end. Every place the line crosses itself (you could think of them as synaptic junctions) messages cross over; communication travels quickly throughout the entire line itself as well. Academic disciplines are areas where a segment of line is cut out of the ball and studied. They explore its tensile strength, its molecular structure, its chemical composition, the colors and types of wires that run through it. Any communications that were flowing or might flow through it cannot be studied once it is cut out of the whole-only a tiny part of the picture can be seen. Misunderstandings easily arise, especially if the communications that flow through the line are the most important thing. "Turn the ball of telephone line back into Earth. Each plant, plant neighborhood, plant community, ecosystem, and biome has messages flowing through it constantly-trillions and trillions of messages at the same time. The messages are complex communications between all the different parts of the ecosystem. There is no beginning and no end, no cause and no effect. The three-and-a-half-billion-year-old feedback loops of Earth are so closely intertwined that there is always another cause underneath whatever cause you begin with. Impacts at any one point affect every other point in the system. Life is so closely coupled with the physical and chemical environment of which it is a part that the two cannot legitimately be viewed in isolation from one another. As James Lovelock says: 'Together they constitute a single evolutionary process, which is self-regulating.'" (p 172) If, as Buhner suggests, we are the language, and the language is us, and the meaning of that language is the beauty of Life itself, then redemption is not an airy philosophical postulate, but an experimental result within the realm of reason and, perhaps, within the realm of possibility.
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| 179. The Coming Global Superstorm by Art Bell, Whitley Strieber | |
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(price subject to change: see help) Asin: 0671041908 Catlog: Book (1999-12-01) Publisher: Atria Sales Rank: 46156 Average Customer Review: US | Canada | United Kingdom | Germany | France | Japan |
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Amazon.com Scoffers would do well to remember the 1900 hurricane that devastated Galveston, Texas, despite the clear warnings--we may have advanced our meteorological knowledge over the 20th century, but is our judgment any better?Bell and Strieber are ultimately optimistic that quick behavior change can avert the big storm for a while, even if archaeological evidence suggests its inevitability.Their solutions range from the small scale (buy fuel-efficient cars) to the grandiose (global cooperation in weather monitoring).Whether their suggestions will help is a moot question (how could we ever know?); surely, though, they won't hurt. --Rob Lightner Reviews (125)
The problem with accepting their premise is two fold. First, several prominent climatologists have refuted the idea that such a catastrophe could strike within days. These weather experts agree that yes, such a flooding and freezing could occur, but only after thousands of years. What the reader has to face is the hard choice of which set of experts to believe. No one wants to accept the doomsday scenario of Bell and Streiber, so there is the natural tendency to scoff at their claims. Bell and Streiber, to their credit, admit that it would take courage and foresight to accept their thesis. To make their claims more enticing they resort to methods of persuasion that are superficially glitzy but do not fall into the category of hard scientific empiricism. And this brings me to their second problem. Bell and Streiber have written their book as a sort of oddly blended HAB THEORY wedded to CHARIOTS OF THE GODS. In these latter books, their authors posit the existence of previous civilizations that were quickly wiped out by natural phenomena. No reputable scientist can accept a premise that relies on an underpinning of sensational pulpist writing of lost civilization. Further, Bell and Streiber intersperse their text with a fictional viewpoint of a climatologist who passes judgment on the oncoming superstorm. As long as they stick to their hard science discussion of the mechanics of ice flow, their account is oddly compelling. But the fictionalized viewpoints and digressions on lost civilizations intrude to the point that the reader shakes his head and wishes for more prose on ice flow and less on the lost glories of Atlantis. If indeed Bell and Streiber are correct in their premise that the downfall of human civilization is a heartbeat away, then someone else will have to warn humanity in a way that appeals more to the head and less to the heart. The possibility of being right is no excuse for being unconvincing.
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